US Fleury-Merogis vs Besancon RC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.6%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.7%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.2%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.5%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.3%
13.1%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.4%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-17%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
43
2º
8º
2º
24
6º
13º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
50 | 53 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
43 | 44 |
2º
|
67% | |
|
3º
|
43 | 44 |
3º
|
67% | |
|
4º
|
39 | 42 |
4º
|
91.5% | |
|
5º
|
37 | 40 |
5º
|
84% | |
|
7º
|
34 | 35 |
6º
|
76% | |
|
6º
|
34 | 34 |
7º
|
80.5% | |
|
9º
|
30 | 31 |
8º
|
37% | |
|
8º
|
31 | 31 |
9º
|
24.5% | |
|
10º
|
29 | 30 |
10º
|
14% | |
|
12º
|
28 | 29 |
11º
|
7.5% | |
|
11º
|
28 | 29 |
12º
|
22% | |
|
|
14º
|
24 | 25 |
13º
|
85% | |
|
13º
|
24 | 24 |
14º
|
85% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
US Fleury-Merogis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
FLE
2 - 1
LUS
56%
25%
20%
|
51 | 45 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
BIE
1 - 1
FLE
18%
23%
59%
|
51 | 41 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
FLE
1 - 2
COL
53%
25%
22%
|
51 | 46 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
FEI
1 - 3
FLE
14%
22%
64%
|
51 | 37 | 14 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
FLE
0 - 1
BOU
31%
27%
43%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Besancon RC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
BRC
1 - 1
LUS
36%
26%
38%
|
42 | 45 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
COL
1 - 2
BRC
64%
21%
15%
|
41 | 46 | 5 | +1 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
BRC
2 - 1
BOU
13%
22%
65%
|
39 | 57 | 18 | +2 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
FUR
2 - 1
BRC
63%
22%
15%
|
39 | 48 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
BRC
0 - 3
OLY
44%
26%
31%
|
41 | 40 | 1 | -2 |