Flénu vs Renaissance Mons 44 II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.7%
Win probability
2.82
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.5%
5-0
3.7%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.5%
4-0
6.6%
5-1
3.2%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.6%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
5.7%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.7%
2-0
10%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20%
13.5%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
6.1%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
13.5%
8.7%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.1%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
+11%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
58
2º
12º
3º
25
5º
16º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
15º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
76 | 79 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
55 | 58 |
2º
|
51.5% | |
|
|
2º
|
58 | 58 |
3º
|
51.5% | |
|
4º
|
50 | 53 |
4º
|
83% | |
|
5º
|
48 | 48 |
5º
|
83% | |
|
7º
|
41 | 44 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
41 | 41 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 40 |
8º
|
86% | |
|
9º
|
37 | 37 |
9º
|
86% | |
|
10º
|
34 | 34 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
29 | 32 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
32 | 32 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
28 | 31 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
|
15º
|
25 | 28 |
14º
|
86% | |
|
14º
|
26 | 26 |
15º
|
86% | |
|
16º
|
24 | 24 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 86% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 14% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Flénu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2023 |
PER
0 - 1
FLE
51%
21%
28%
|
30 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2023 |
FLE
2 - 0
HOR
56%
21%
24%
|
27 | 26 | 1 | +3 |
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
ANT
1 - 1
FLE
30%
21%
49%
|
27 | 20 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
FLE
2 - 1
PAC
56%
20%
24%
|
27 | 25 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2023 |
COU
3 - 3
FLE
22%
21%
57%
|
27 | 20 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Renaissance Mons 44 II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2023 |
RMO
0 - 3
BEL
8%
13%
80%
|
18 | 42 | 24 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2023 |
LUI
0 - 1
RMO
54%
21%
25%
|
17 | 19 | 2 | +1 |
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
RMO
4 - 3
MON
30%
22%
49%
|
16 | 21 | 5 | +1 |
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
MOL
3 - 2
RMO
88%
9%
4%
|
16 | 34 | 18 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2023 |
RMO
4 - 1
SOL
43%
22%
36%
|
15 | 17 | 2 | +1 |