Flénu vs Montignies analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.7%
Win probability
2.44
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.1%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.9%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.2%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.8%
17.9%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
17.9%
16.3%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.3%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+23%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
58
2º
12º
3º
24
9º
16º
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
16º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
76 | 79 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
55 | 58 |
2º
|
51.5% | |
|
|
2º
|
58 | 58 |
3º
|
51.5% | |
|
4º
|
50 | 53 |
4º
|
83% | |
|
5º
|
48 | 48 |
5º
|
83% | |
|
7º
|
41 | 44 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
41 | 41 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 40 |
8º
|
86% | |
|
9º
|
37 | 37 |
9º
|
86% | |
|
10º
|
34 | 34 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
29 | 32 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
32 | 32 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
28 | 31 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
25 | 28 |
14º
|
86% | |
|
14º
|
26 | 26 |
15º
|
86% | |
|
|
16º
|
24 | 24 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Flénu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
RFC
0 - 1
FLE
46%
21%
33%
|
25 | 24 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2023 |
RAN
0 - 0
FLE
38%
23%
40%
|
25 | 23 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
FLE
1 - 2
BEL
20%
19%
62%
|
26 | 37 | 11 | -1 |
| 07 Jan. 2023 |
LUI
0 - 3
FLE
33%
22%
46%
|
25 | 21 | 4 | +1 |
| 11 Dec. 2022 |
FLE
2 - 2
MOL
27%
21%
51%
|
25 | 33 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Montignies
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2023 |
MON
3 - 1
RFC
33%
22%
46%
|
19 | 23 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
PAC
2 - 0
MON
60%
21%
20%
|
20 | 24 | 4 | -1 |
| 22 Jan. 2023 |
MON
2 - 0
COU
53%
22%
25%
|
19 | 18 | 1 | +1 |
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
LER
2 - 1
MON
38%
23%
39%
|
20 | 17 | 3 | -1 |
| 11 Dec. 2022 |
BEL
3 - 0
MON
75%
16%
9%
|
20 | 37 | 17 | 0 |