Flatirons Rush vs New Mexico United U23 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.1%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
13.2%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.9%
22%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
9%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
22%
34%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
17.3%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
10%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Flatirons Rush
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jul. 2022 |
SCS
2 - 3
FLA
38%
22%
40%
|
28 | 24 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2022 |
SCS
2 - 1
FLA
32%
22%
46%
|
29 | 23 | 6 | -1 |
| 26 Jun. 2022 |
FLA
2 - 1
SCS
68%
17%
15%
|
29 | 22 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2022 |
CIS
1 - 1
FLA
29%
22%
49%
|
29 | 22 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2022 |
FLA
0 - 3
PCR
44%
22%
34%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | -2 |
Matches
New Mexico United U23
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jul. 2022 |
CIS
0 - 2
NMU
20%
20%
60%
|
30 | 19 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2022 |
CIS
0 - 1
NMU
22%
20%
58%
|
29 | 20 | 9 | +1 |
| 01 Jul. 2022 |
NMU
0 - 2
PCR
36%
22%
42%
|
31 | 35 | 4 | -2 |
| 19 Jun. 2022 |
PCR
3 - 1
NMU
53%
21%
26%
|
32 | 34 | 2 | -1 |
| 17 Jun. 2022 |
SCS
2 - 5
NMU
28%
22%
50%
|
31 | 23 | 8 | +1 |