Flamengo vs São Paulo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.8%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.7%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.2%
2-0
11%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.4%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
18.5%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.5%
13.5%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.3%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Flamengo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jul. 2021 |
FLA
4 - 1
DYJ
80%
14%
7%
|
90 | 80 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2021 |
BAH
0 - 5
FLA
15%
20%
65%
|
90 | 79 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2021 |
DYJ
0 - 1
FLA
12%
19%
69%
|
90 | 80 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Jul. 2021 |
FLA
2 - 1
CHA
83%
12%
5%
|
90 | 73 | 17 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2021 |
ATM
2 - 1
FLA
29%
23%
47%
|
90 | 86 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
São Paulo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jul. 2021 |
RAC
1 - 3
SAO
34%
27%
39%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2021 |
SAO
0 - 1
FOR
60%
22%
18%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2021 |
SAO
1 - 1
RAC
57%
22%
21%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Jul. 2021 |
SAO
1 - 0
BAH
65%
20%
15%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2021 |
SCI
0 - 2
SAO
47%
25%
28%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | 0 |