Flamengo vs Santos FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.8%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.1%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.3%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.3%
36.8%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.9%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.7%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Flamengo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2011 |
FLA
0 - 4
UCH
60%
22%
18%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2011 |
CEA
0 - 1
FLA
31%
26%
42%
|
82 | 74 | 8 | +1 |
| 13 Oct. 2011 |
FLA
1 - 1
PAL
50%
26%
25%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2011 |
FLA
3 - 2
FLU
42%
26%
32%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2011 |
SAO
1 - 2
FLA
52%
25%
24%
|
82 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Santos FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2011 |
SAN
2 - 0
BOT
48%
25%
27%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2011 |
SAN
0 - 1
GRE
52%
24%
24%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | -1 |
| 14 Oct. 2011 |
ATM
2 - 1
SAN
32%
25%
44%
|
84 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2011 |
SAN
1 - 0
PAL
56%
24%
21%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2011 |
GRE
1 - 0
SAN
44%
24%
32%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |