Flamengo PI vs Caiçara analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
75.2%
Win probability
2.5
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.2%
4-0
6.2%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
9%
3-0
10%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.7%
2-0
12%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.6%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.1%
15.5%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.5%
9.3%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
6.8%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Flamengo PI
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2014 |
PAR
0 - 1
FLA
58%
23%
19%
|
40 | 47 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2014 |
ATL
2 - 2
FLA
78%
15%
7%
|
39 | 66 | 27 | +1 |
| 06 Apr. 2014 |
RIV
3 - 0
FLA
53%
24%
22%
|
40 | 43 | 3 | -1 |
| 04 Apr. 2014 |
FLA
2 - 4
PIA
53%
24%
23%
|
42 | 41 | 1 | -2 |
| 29 Mar. 2014 |
BAR
2 - 0
FLA
40%
27%
33%
|
44 | 40 | 4 | -2 |
Matches
Caiçara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 2014 |
CAI
0 - 4
4DE
23%
21%
56%
|
24 | 40 | 16 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2014 |
COR
1 - 0
CAI
61%
21%
19%
|
24 | 34 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2014 |
CAI
1 - 1
BAR
23%
22%
55%
|
23 | 42 | 19 | +1 |
| 30 Mar. 2014 |
RIV
2 - 0
CAI
73%
17%
10%
|
23 | 44 | 21 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2014 |
CAI
1 - 1
PIA
23%
23%
54%
|
22 | 41 | 19 | +1 |