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Liga de Fútbol Amateur de Rusia. Moscow oblast, Matchday 15

Zorkiy vs Metallist Korolev analysis

Zorkiy Metallist Korolev
7 ELO 10
69% Tilt 1%
10842º General ELO ranking 9690º
262º Country ELO ranking 248º
ELO win probability
67.3%
Zorkiy
17.9%
Draw
14.8%
Metallist Korolev

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.3%
Win probability
Zorkiy
2.4
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.2%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.1%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.3%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.7%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.2%
17.9%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
8%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.9%
14.8%
Win probability
Metallist Korolev
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
9.7%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Zorkiy
+87%
+64%
Metallist Korolev

Points and table prediction

Current table Final expectations
PK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Balashikha
66
71
85%
Peresvet
62
67
85%
Zorkiy
55
59
70%
Zvyagino Pushkino
51
56
37%
Olimp Balashikha
51
55
32%
Sergiyev Posad
47
52
58%
Metallist Korolev
44
49
34%
Vityaz Noginsk
43
49
48%
Dolgoprudny II
41
46
67%
Legion Ivanteyevka
10º
35
40
10º
71%
Kobart Lobnya
11º
33
38
11º
67%
Lyubertsy
12º
24
27
12º
49%
Znamya Noginsk II
13º
23
25
14º
30%
Mbus Ssh Saturn
14º
21
25
13º
30%
Prialit
15º
12
14
15º
100%
Saturn II
16º
3
4
16º
100%
Expected probabilities
Zorkiy
Metallist Korolev
Next phase
0% 0%
Mid-table
100% 100%
Relegation playoffs
0% 0%

ELO progression

Zorkiy
ZOR
Metallist Korolev
FMK
Saturn II
SAT
Olimp Balashikha
OSB
Znamya Noginsk II
FZN
Mbus Ssh Saturn
MSS
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Zorkiy
Zorkiy
1%
X%
2%
ELO ZOR ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
10 Jul. 2021
BVN
Vityaz Noginsk
2 - 1
Zorkiy
ZOR
47%
27%
26%
126 172 46 -1
03 Jul. 2021
ZOR
Zorkiy
3 - 0
Legion Ivanteyevka
FLI
46%
27%
27%
124 162 -38 +2
26 Jun. 2021
FKL
Kobart Lobnya
3 - 3
Zorkiy
ZOR
47%
27%
26%
124 178 54 0
19 Jun. 2021
ZOR
Zorkiy
2 - 1
Zvyagino Pushkino
FZP
42%
28%
30%
123 176 -53 +1
12 Jun. 2021
BAL
Balashikha
0 - 0
Zorkiy
ZOR
49%
26%
25%
122 244 122 0

Matches

Metallist Korolev
Metallist Korolev
1%
X%
2%
ELO FMK ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
10 Jul. 2021
FMK
Metallist Korolev
5 - 0
Znamya Noginsk II
FZN
45%
27%
28%
165 157 8 +2
03 Jul. 2021
SER
Sergiyev Posad
2 - 2
Metallist Korolev
FMK
45%
27%
28%
165 167 2 0
26 Jun. 2021
FMK
Metallist Korolev
2 - 0
Lyubertsy
FKL
45%
27%
28%
164 140 24 +2
19 Jun. 2021
PER
Peresvet
4 - 1
Metallist Korolev
FMK
45%
27%
28%
166 182 16 -2
12 Jun. 2021
FMK
Metallist Korolev
1 - 2
Dolgoprudny II
DOL
45%
27%
27%
155 164 -9 -1