FSC Mariupol vs FK Epitsentr analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
23.8%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.6%
2-0
4%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.9%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
15.9%
27.5%
Draw
0-0
10.4%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
27.5%
48.8%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
14.4%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.2%
0-2
10%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
14.7%
0-3
4.6%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.2%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
+16%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
37
4º
10º
10º
44
3º
7º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
67 | 25 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
65 | 20 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
54 | 18 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
40 | 14 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
44 | 13 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
40 | 13 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
39 | 9 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
38 | 9 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
37 | 8 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
37 | 6 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FSC Mariupol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
FKA
1 - 1
FYM
60%
24%
16%
|
57 | 66 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2024 |
FYM
0 - 0
FNB
32%
28%
40%
|
57 | 66 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
KPT
3 - 1
FYM
72%
19%
10%
|
57 | 76 | 19 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2024 |
FYM
1 - 1
PRY
32%
28%
40%
|
57 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
FED
1 - 1
FYM
62%
23%
16%
|
57 | 70 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
FK Epitsentr
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
FED
1 - 1
LIV
48%
27%
26%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
INH
1 - 0
FED
47%
27%
26%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
FED
3 - 1
MYK
61%
23%
16%
|
70 | 57 | 13 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2024 |
POL
0 - 0
FED
31%
28%
41%
|
70 | 57 | 13 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
FED
1 - 1
FYM
62%
23%
16%
|
70 | 57 | 13 | 0 |