Ustrem Donchevo vs Spartak Varna analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
9.5%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.1%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.1%
1-0
2.9%
2-1
2.9%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
6.8%
15.4%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.4%
75.1%
Win probability
2.52
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
22%
0-2
11.7%
1-3
7.7%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
21.5%
0-3
9.8%
1-4
4.8%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.1%
-3
15.7%
0-4
6.2%
1-5
2.4%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
9%
0-5
3.1%
1-6
1%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
4.3%
0-6
1.3%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0%
-6
1.7%
0-7
0.5%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.6%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-46%
+19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ustrem Donchevo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2019 |
SUV
5 - 1
UST
89%
9%
3%
|
18 | 46 | 28 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2019 |
UST
1 - 0
KAL
30%
22%
49%
|
17 | 23 | 6 | +1 |
| 30 Mar. 2019 |
HIT
5 - 0
UST
81%
13%
7%
|
17 | 36 | 19 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2019 |
UST
0 - 4
FTT
37%
22%
41%
|
18 | 22 | 4 | -1 |
| 17 Mar. 2019 |
BEN
2 - 0
UST
41%
21%
38%
|
19 | 16 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Spartak Varna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2019 |
SVA
2 - 0
SUV
29%
24%
47%
|
40 | 47 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2019 |
KAL
0 - 2
SVA
20%
22%
58%
|
40 | 24 | 16 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2019 |
SVA
4 - 1
HIT
60%
21%
19%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | +1 |
| 16 Mar. 2019 |
FTT
1 - 2
SVA
17%
19%
64%
|
38 | 23 | 15 | +1 |
| 09 Mar. 2019 |
SVA
7 - 0
BEN
88%
8%
4%
|
38 | 17 | 21 | 0 |