Spartak Varna II vs Ustrem Donchevo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.4%
Win probability
2.48
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.2%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.7%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.3%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.4%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.3%
18.2%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
18.2%
18.4%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
11.1%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+41%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
41
5º
9º
8º
21
9º
14º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
74 | 77 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
65 | 68 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
56 | 56 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
52 | 55 |
4º
|
88.5% | |
|
4º
|
54 | 54 |
5º
|
88.5% | |
|
6º
|
46 | 49 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
46 | 46 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
41 | 44 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
40 | 40 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
22 | 25 |
10º
|
72% | |
|
11º
|
22 | 22 |
11º
|
66.5% | |
|
|
12º
|
21 | 21 |
12º
|
73.5% | |
|
13º
|
20 | 20 |
13º
|
81% | |
|
14º
|
15 | 15 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
12 | 12 |
15º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 82% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 18% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Spartak Varna II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
LOR
0 - 2
FSV
7%
13%
80%
|
34 | 12 | 22 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
FSV
1 - 0
SVE
31%
23%
47%
|
32 | 40 | 8 | +2 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
LUD
3 - 0
FSV
77%
15%
9%
|
32 | 43 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
FSV
3 - 4
SEP
23%
27%
51%
|
33 | 46 | 13 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
CMV
2 - 1
FSV
62%
19%
19%
|
33 | 38 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Ustrem Donchevo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
UST
2 - 1
CHE
16%
18%
67%
|
23 | 38 | 15 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
SHU
4 - 0
UST
38%
21%
41%
|
24 | 22 | 2 | -1 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
UST
2 - 1
BOT
61%
19%
20%
|
23 | 18 | 5 | +1 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
DOR
5 - 2
UST
62%
18%
20%
|
24 | 30 | 6 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
UST
1 - 3
DOR
37%
23%
40%
|
25 | 28 | 3 | -1 |