Siauliai vs Zalgiris Vilnius analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.9%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.6%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.7%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.1%
50%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
0-1
11.5%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24%
0-2
9.1%
1-3
5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.2%
0-3
4.8%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.1%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+1%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
62
2º
4º
3º
75
2º
6º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
87 | 87 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
75 | 75 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
62 | 62 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
59 | 59 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
59 | 59 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
36 | 36 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
35 | 35 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
31 | 31 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
25 | 25 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
25 | 25 |
10º
|
0% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
100% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Siauliai
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
PAN
3 - 1
FAS
54%
25%
21%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2023 |
FAS
0 - 2
FSM
72%
17%
11%
|
66 | 52 | 14 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2023 |
FAS
3 - 0
SUD
37%
26%
37%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | +1 |
| 14 Mar. 2023 |
FAS
3 - 1
HLI
37%
27%
36%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | +1 |
| 10 Mar. 2023 |
KZA
0 - 0
FAS
57%
24%
19%
|
64 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Zalgiris Vilnius
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
ZAL
4 - 0
SUD
55%
24%
21%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2023 |
ZAL
1 - 0
TRA
62%
22%
16%
|
75 | 65 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2023 |
KZA
1 - 1
ZAL
33%
26%
42%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
ZAL
1 - 0
BAN
78%
15%
6%
|
75 | 51 | 24 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
ZAL
2 - 3
DTE
78%
16%
7%
|
75 | 53 | 22 | 0 |