Saturn II vs Sergiyev Posad analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
4.4%
Win probability
0.57
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.1%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.1%
2-0
0.5%
3-1
0.3%
4-2
0.1%
+2
0.8%
1-0
1.6%
2-1
1.4%
3-2
0.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
3.5%
10.2%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
4.9%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
10.2%
85.3%
Win probability
2.98
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.2%
0-2
12.8%
1-3
7.2%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.7%
0-3
12.7%
1-4
5.4%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
-3
19.1%
0-4
9.5%
1-5
3.2%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
13.1%
0-5
5.6%
1-6
1.6%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
7.4%
0-6
2.8%
1-7
0.7%
2-8
0.1%
-6
3.5%
0-7
1.2%
1-8
0.3%
2-9
0%
-7
1.5%
0-8
0.4%
1-9
0.1%
-8
0.5%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.2%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+52%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Saturn II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2021 |
FKL
1 - 0
SAT
87%
9%
4%
|
5 | 15 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2021 |
SAT
0 - 4
PER
4%
10%
86%
|
5 | 39 | 34 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2021 |
DOL
3 - 1
SAT
91%
7%
2%
|
5 | 36 | 31 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2021 |
SAT
0 - 3
OSB
5%
12%
83%
|
5 | 31 | 26 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2021 |
MSS
3 - 1
SAT
69%
16%
15%
|
5 | 9 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Sergiyev Posad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2021 |
SER
3 - 3
ZOR
37%
23%
40%
|
34 | 38 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2021 |
FZN
2 - 4
SER
5%
11%
84%
|
34 | 8 | 26 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2021 |
SER
6 - 0
FPR
87%
9%
4%
|
35 | 13 | 22 | -1 |
| 14 Aug. 2021 |
FKL
4 - 6
SER
8%
14%
78%
|
34 | 14 | 20 | +1 |
| 07 Aug. 2021 |
PER
4 - 0
SER
61%
19%
21%
|
35 | 37 | 2 | -1 |