FNL . Jor. 21

Rodina Moskva vs Shinnik Yaroslavl analysis

Rodina Moskva Shinnik Yaroslavl
51 ELO 55
5.9% Tilt -1.4%
1840º General ELO ranking 2981º
22º Country ELO ranking 38º
ELO win probability
38.5%
Rodina Moskva
25.8%
Draw
35.7%
Shinnik Yaroslavl

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.5%
Win probability
Rodina Moskva
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.3%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.7%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
35.7%
Win probability
Shinnik Yaroslavl
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.8%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.3%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Rodina Moskva
+20%
-6%
Shinnik Yaroslavl

Points and table prediction

Rodina Moskva
Their league position
Shinnik Yaroslavl
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
50
18º
46
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Rubin Kazán
69
69
100%
Baltika Kaliningrad
67
67
100%
Alaniya Vladikavkaz
62
62
100%
Yenisey
54
54
100%
Rodina Moskva
50
50
100%
Neftekhimik
47
47
100%
Akron Tolyatti
46
46
0%
Shinnik Yaroslavl
46
46
0%
Dynamo Makhachkala
46
46
100%
SKA-Khabarovsk
10º
44
44
10º
0%
Volgar Astrakhan
12º
44
44
11º
0%
KamAZ
11º
44
44
12º
0%
Arsenal Tula
13º
41
41
13º
100%
PFC Kuban Krasnodar
14º
37
37
14º
100%
Veles
15º
33
33
15º
100%
Ufa
16º
32
32
16º
100%
FC Krasnodar II
17º
31
31
17º
100%
Volga Ulyanovsk
18º
30
30
18º
100%
Expected probabilities
Rodina Moskva
Shinnik Yaroslavl
Promotion
0% 0%
Mid-table
0% 100%
Promotion play-offs
100% 0%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

Rodina Moskva
Shinnik Yaroslavl
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Rodina Moskva
Rodina Moskva
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
23 Feb. 2023
VOL
Volgar Astrakhan
1 - 2
Rodina Moskva
FKR
49%
25%
26%
51 57 6 0
23 Feb. 2023
FKR
Rodina Moskva
2 - 0
FK Turon
FKT
22%
21%
57%
51 63 12 0
19 Feb. 2023
FKR
Rodina Moskva
0 - 1
FK Nizhny Novgorod
OLY
21%
24%
56%
51 68 17 0
19 Feb. 2023
VOL
Volga Ulyanovsk
1 - 4
Rodina Moskva
FKR
43%
26%
32%
51 54 3 0
15 Feb. 2023
FKR
Rodina Moskva
0 - 0
Ufa
UFA
27%
25%
49%
51 62 11 0

Matches

Shinnik Yaroslavl
Shinnik Yaroslavl
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
01 Mar. 2023
YAR
Shinnik Yaroslavl
1 - 4
FC Irtysh Omsk
IRT
64%
21%
15%
55 44 11 0
27 Feb. 2023
FCR
Rubin Kazán
2 - 1
Shinnik Yaroslavl
YAR
77%
15%
8%
55 72 17 0
23 Feb. 2023
YAR
Shinnik Yaroslavl
2 - 0
FC Kyzylzhar
KYZ
20%
24%
56%
55 68 13 0
20 Feb. 2023
YAR
Shinnik Yaroslavl
1 - 1
Okzhetpes Kokshetau
OKZ
12%
17%
71%
55 70 15 0
12 Feb. 2023
YAR
Shinnik Yaroslavl
1 - 1
FK Nizhny Novgorod
OLY
23%
25%
52%
55 68 13 0
X