FK Pobeda AD vs Osogovo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.2%
Win probability
2.53
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.9%
5-0
3.6%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.7%
4-0
7.1%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.8%
3-0
11.3%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.7%
2-0
13.4%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.3%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.9%
14.4%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.4%
7.4%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.6%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-29%
+26%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
28
1º
14º
14º
30
12º
16º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
77 | 77 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
70 | 70 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
60 | 60 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
51 | 51 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
45 | 45 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
42 | 42 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
42 | 42 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
42 | 42 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
41 | 41 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
38 | 38 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
34 | 34 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
30 | 30 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
29 | 29 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
|
14º
|
28 | 28 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
27 | 27 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
15 | 15 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FK Pobeda AD
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
POB
0 - 0
OHR
56%
22%
22%
|
43 | 42 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
BAS
2 - 1
POB
69%
19%
12%
|
43 | 62 | 19 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2023 |
POB
5 - 1
TET
51%
22%
27%
|
42 | 41 | 1 | +1 |
| 05 Aug. 2023 |
POB
1 - 1
PEL
23%
23%
54%
|
41 | 53 | 12 | +1 |
| 14 May. 2023 |
POB
1 - 4
TIK
18%
23%
59%
|
42 | 60 | 18 | -1 |
Matches
Osogovo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
OSO
2 - 3
BAS
15%
22%
63%
|
31 | 62 | 31 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
TET
2 - 1
OSO
74%
15%
11%
|
32 | 39 | 7 | -1 |
| 12 Aug. 2023 |
OSO
0 - 4
BES
25%
26%
49%
|
33 | 47 | 14 | -1 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
OSO
3 - 0
FKS
37%
23%
39%
|
32 | 37 | 5 | +1 |
| 14 May. 2022 |
BRZ
2 - 4
OSO
34%
23%
43%
|
32 | 24 | 8 | 0 |