FK Pobeda vs Struga analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
15.9%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.1%
+2
3.3%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
3.6%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
<0%
+1
11.9%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
12.2%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
26.5%
57.6%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
18%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
27.7%
0-2
13.2%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
17.8%
0-3
6.5%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
8.1%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
+1%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
13
9º
12º
12º
66
1º
2º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
66 | 69 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
59 | 63 |
2º
|
94.5% | |
|
3º
|
54 | 58 |
3º
|
94% | |
|
4º
|
47 | 51 |
4º
|
98.5% | |
|
5º
|
39 | 42 |
5º
|
25% | |
|
6º
|
38 | 42 |
6º
|
27.5% | |
|
7º
|
37 | 41 |
7º
|
36.5% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 41 |
8º
|
38.5% | |
|
12º
|
0 | 32 |
9º
|
33% | |
|
9º
|
27 | 31 |
10º
|
51.5% | |
|
10º
|
22 | 25 |
11º
|
83.5% | |
|
|
11º
|
13 | 14 |
12º
|
97% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 100% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FK Pobeda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2022 |
POB
0 - 2
MAK
16%
20%
65%
|
52 | 65 | 13 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
POB
1 - 1
AKP
19%
25%
57%
|
51 | 64 | 13 | +1 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
SIL
0 - 3
POB
75%
17%
8%
|
49 | 66 | 17 | +2 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
POB
1 - 3
SHK
10%
20%
70%
|
50 | 69 | 19 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
RAB
1 - 0
POB
63%
22%
16%
|
50 | 61 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Struga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
SHK
1 - 0
FCS
46%
28%
26%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2022 |
FCS
2 - 1
RAB
56%
24%
20%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
MAK
1 - 1
FCS
39%
29%
32%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2022 |
FCS
1 - 2
SIL
49%
26%
25%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
FCS
2 - 0
TIK
54%
26%
20%
|
69 | 60 | 9 | 0 |