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Liga de Fútbol Amateur de Rusia. Moscow oblast, Matchday 21

Peresvet vs Balashikha analysis

Peresvet Balashikha
12 ELO 19
158% Tilt 201%
8949º General ELO ranking 6741º
222º Country ELO ranking 135º
ELO win probability
43.6%
Peresvet
16.1%
Draw
40.3%
Balashikha

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.6%
Win probability
Peresvet
3.25
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
0.1%
10-3
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.3%
9-3
0.1%
10-4
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.6%
8-3
0.3%
9-4
0.1%
10-5
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
1.4%
7-3
0.7%
8-4
0.2%
9-5
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
1%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
2.5%
6-3
1.4%
7-4
0.5%
8-5
0.1%
9-6
<0%
+3
8%
2-0
0.9%
3-1
3%
4-2
3.8%
5-3
2.6%
6-4
1.1%
7-5
0.3%
8-6
0.1%
9-7
<0%
+2
11.9%
1-0
0.5%
2-1
2.8%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
4%
5-4
2.1%
6-5
0.7%
7-6
0.2%
8-7
<0%
+1
15%
16.1%
Draw
0-0
0.2%
1-1
1.7%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
5%
4-4
3.2%
5-5
1.3%
6-6
0.4%
7-7
0.1%
8-8
<0%
0
16.1%
40.3%
Win probability
Balashikha
3.14
Expected goals
0-1
0.5%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
4.6%
3-4
3.9%
4-5
2%
5-6
0.7%
6-7
0.2%
7-8
0%
-1
14.5%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
3.6%
3-5
2.4%
4-6
1%
5-7
0.3%
6-8
0.1%
7-9
0%
-2
11.1%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
2.3%
3-6
1.3%
4-7
0.5%
5-8
0.1%
6-9
0%
-3
7.2%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
1.2%
3-7
0.6%
4-8
0.2%
5-9
0%
-4
4.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.5%
3-8
0.2%
4-9
0.1%
5-10
0%
-5
2%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0.2%
3-9
0.1%
4-10
0%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0.1%
3-10
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
2-10
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
1-10
0%
-9
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Peresvet
+165%
+152%
Balashikha

Points and table prediction

Current table Final expectations
PK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Balashikha
57
71
88%
Peresvet
50
66
72%
Zorkiy
46
56
23%
Olimp Balashikha
45
55
21%
Zvyagino Pushkino
39
55
33%
Sergiyev Posad
38
49
18%
Metallist Korolev
38
49
15%
Vityaz Noginsk
37
48
16%
Legion Ivanteyevka
32
46
18%
Dolgoprudny II
10º
31
42
10º
23%
Kobart Lobnya
11º
30
41
11º
31%
Lyubertsy
12º
21
28
12º
49%
Znamya Noginsk II
13º
17
20
14º
30%
Mbus Ssh Saturn
14º
17
25
13º
29%
Prialit
15º
12
18
15º
56%
Saturn II
16º
3
7
16º
97%
Expected probabilities
Peresvet
Balashikha
Next phase
24% 88%
Mid-table
76% 12%
Relegation playoffs
0% 0%

ELO progression

Balashikha
BAL
Peresvet
PER
Zvyagino Pushkino
FZP
Lyubertsy
FKL
Sergiyev Posad
SER
Kobart Lobnya
FKL
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Peresvet
Peresvet
1%
X%
2%
ELO PER ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
28 Aug. 2021
SAT
Saturn II
0 - 4
Peresvet
PER
44%
27%
29%
186 107 -79 +2
21 Aug. 2021
PER
Peresvet
1 - 0
Zorkiy
ZOR
47%
27%
26%
185 108 77 +1
14 Aug. 2021
FZN
Znamya Noginsk II
1 - 3
Peresvet
PER
46%
27%
28%
183 149 -34 +2
07 Aug. 2021
PER
Peresvet
4 - 0
Sergiyev Posad
SER
45%
27%
28%
181 161 20 +2
31 Jul. 2021
FKL
Lyubertsy
1 - 4
Peresvet
PER
46%
27%
28%
180 132 -48 +2

Matches

Balashikha
Balashikha
1%
X%
2%
ELO BAL ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
28 Aug. 2021
BAL
Balashikha
1 - 0
Dolgoprudny II
DOL
47%
27%
26%
262 208 54 +1
21 Aug. 2021
OSB
Olimp Balashikha
2 - 2
Balashikha
BAL
44%
27%
29%
262 175 -87 0
14 Aug. 2021
BAL
Balashikha
3 - 1
Mbus Ssh Saturn
MSS
49%
26%
25%
260 153 107 +1
07 Aug. 2021
FMK
Metallist Korolev
2 - 2
Balashikha
BAL
44%
27%
29%
260 162 -98 0
31 Jul. 2021
BAL
Balashikha
6 - 1
Vityaz Noginsk
BVN
47%
27%
26%
259 167 92 +2