Partizan Belgrade vs Napredak Krusevac analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.3%
Win probability
2.34
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.1%
4-0
7.2%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.1%
3-0
12.2%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.4%
2-0
15.7%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.1%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
15.1%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
7%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
15.1%
6.5%
Win probability
0.52
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
5.2%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+8%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
58
1º
8º
4º
31
10º
16º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
82 | 82 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
62 | 62 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
60 | 60 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
58 | 58 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
54 | 54 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
50 | 50 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
39 | 39 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
37 | 37 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
|
10º
|
31 | 31 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
29 | 29 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
29 | 29 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
25 | 25 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
23 | 23 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
23 | 23 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
20 | 20 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Partizan Belgrade
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
PAR
3 - 2
ČUK
52%
23%
25%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2022 |
PAR
2 - 0
KOL
44%
23%
34%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | -1 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
VOZ
0 - 4
PAR
25%
25%
50%
|
81 | 71 | 10 | +1 |
| 06 Oct. 2022 |
KOL
0 - 1
PAR
46%
25%
29%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
PAR
4 - 1
VOJ
65%
20%
15%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Napredak Krusevac
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
NAP
1 - 0
RAD
41%
27%
31%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2022 |
INI
0 - 2
NAP
47%
24%
29%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
MLA
3 - 1
NAP
55%
24%
21%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
NAP
4 - 0
KOL
36%
28%
36%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 2022 |
NAP
3 - 0
FKA
57%
23%
21%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | 0 |