FK Panevėžys vs Kauno Žalgiris analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.5%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
7%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.6%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.5%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
33.8%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.6%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-1%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
87
1º
1º
1º
59
2º
6º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
87 | 87 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
75 | 75 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
62 | 62 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
59 | 59 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
|
4º
|
59 | 59 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
36 | 36 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
35 | 35 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
31 | 31 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
25 | 25 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
25 | 25 |
10º
|
0% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
100% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FK Panevėžys
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2023 |
SUD
0 - 2
PAN
36%
28%
36%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2023 |
TRA
0 - 4
PAN
34%
28%
38%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | +1 |
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
BAN
0 - 4
PAN
15%
24%
60%
|
69 | 52 | 17 | +1 |
| 24 Feb. 2023 |
PAN
1 - 0
FKJ
72%
18%
11%
|
70 | 56 | 14 | -1 |
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
PAN
4 - 1
NEV
77%
15%
7%
|
69 | 50 | 19 | +1 |
Matches
Kauno Žalgiris
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 2023 |
KZA
1 - 1
ZAL
33%
26%
42%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2023 |
KZA
0 - 0
FAS
57%
24%
19%
|
72 | 64 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
SUD
2 - 4
KZA
32%
28%
39%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
ZAL
1 - 1
KZA
52%
23%
25%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
KZA
2 - 0
BEN
70%
18%
12%
|
72 | 53 | 19 | 0 |