RFK Novi Sad vs Trajal Krusevac analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.5%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.5%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22%
27.6%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.6%
32.9%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.6%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
9.1%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-25%
+17%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
42
4º
16º
7º
35
6º
15º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
56 | 59 |
1º
|
56.5% | |
|
1º
|
59 | 59 |
2º
|
56.5% | |
|
3º
|
50 | 51 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
44 | 44 |
4º
|
77.5% | |
|
5º
|
43 | 43 |
5º
|
77.5% | |
|
7º
|
42 | 43 |
6º
|
77.5% | |
|
|
6º
|
42 | 42 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
40 | 40 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
37 | 37 |
9º
|
56.5% | |
|
10º
|
37 | 37 |
10º
|
56.5% | |
|
11º
|
36 | 36 |
11º
|
56.5% | |
|
12º
|
35 | 35 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
|
13º
|
35 | 35 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
31 | 31 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
30 | 30 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
24 | 24 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
RFK Novi Sad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2022 |
VRS
2 - 0
NOV
30%
25%
46%
|
50 | 44 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2022 |
FKZ
1 - 1
NOV
50%
26%
25%
|
49 | 55 | 6 | +1 |
| 08 Aug. 2022 |
NOV
0 - 1
ZEL
30%
30%
40%
|
50 | 61 | 11 | -1 |
| 30 Jul. 2022 |
NOV
4 - 1
NOV
67%
20%
13%
|
50 | 67 | 17 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2020 |
NOV
0 - 2
CEL
67%
19%
15%
|
50 | 38 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Trajal Krusevac
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 2022 |
TKS
2 - 1
FKZ
37%
28%
36%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2022 |
ZEL
1 - 0
TKS
59%
25%
16%
|
53 | 61 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2022 |
TKS
2 - 3
NOV
16%
24%
60%
|
54 | 67 | 13 | -1 |
| 01 Aug. 2022 |
RAD
1 - 2
TKS
60%
23%
17%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | +1 |
| 14 Jul. 2022 |
BRE
2 - 0
TKS
69%
19%
12%
|
52 | 61 | 9 | +1 |