RFK Novi Sad vs Grafičar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.2%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.3%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.1%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
14.4%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
25.9%
52.9%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
0-1
14.1%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.5%
0-2
10.7%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.2%
0-3
5.4%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
7.5%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-31%
+20%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
42
4º
16º
7º
50
1º
10º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
56 | 59 |
1º
|
56.5% | |
|
1º
|
59 | 59 |
2º
|
56.5% | |
|
|
3º
|
50 | 51 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
44 | 44 |
4º
|
77.5% | |
|
5º
|
43 | 43 |
5º
|
77.5% | |
|
7º
|
42 | 43 |
6º
|
77.5% | |
|
|
6º
|
42 | 42 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
40 | 40 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
37 | 37 |
9º
|
56.5% | |
|
10º
|
37 | 37 |
10º
|
56.5% | |
|
11º
|
36 | 36 |
11º
|
56.5% | |
|
12º
|
35 | 35 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
35 | 35 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
31 | 31 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
30 | 30 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
24 | 24 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
RFK Novi Sad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2022 |
JED
1 - 1
NOV
33%
27%
40%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
NOV
2 - 1
TKS
40%
28%
33%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | +1 |
| 19 Aug. 2022 |
VRS
2 - 0
NOV
30%
25%
46%
|
50 | 44 | 6 | -1 |
| 14 Aug. 2022 |
FKZ
1 - 1
NOV
50%
26%
25%
|
49 | 55 | 6 | +1 |
| 08 Aug. 2022 |
NOV
0 - 1
ZEL
30%
30%
40%
|
50 | 61 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Grafičar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2022 |
GRA
5 - 1
FKZ
67%
20%
13%
|
63 | 54 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
ZEL
1 - 3
GRA
37%
27%
36%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
GRA
1 - 0
NOV
35%
26%
40%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | +1 |
| 14 Aug. 2022 |
RAD
0 - 3
GRA
35%
26%
39%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | +1 |
| 06 Aug. 2022 |
GRA
5 - 1
LOZ
68%
21%
12%
|
60 | 53 | 7 | +1 |