Neftçi vs Zira FK analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.6%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.6%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.7%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
25.3%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.2%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
68
2º
4º
3º
50
4º
6º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
90 | 90 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
81 | 81 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
68 | 68 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
50 | 50 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
|
5º
|
50 | 50 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
39 | 39 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
31 | 31 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
31 | 31 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
29 | 29 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
25 | 25 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
100% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Neftçi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
SFK
2 - 1
FKN
49%
26%
25%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2022 |
FKN
5 - 2
FCK
80%
15%
5%
|
72 | 47 | 25 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2022 |
RAP
2 - 0
FKN
65%
20%
15%
|
72 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2022 |
SHA
0 - 1
FKN
26%
28%
46%
|
72 | 62 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2022 |
FKN
2 - 1
RAP
30%
25%
46%
|
71 | 81 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Zira FK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2022 |
ZIR
0 - 0
SUM
56%
25%
19%
|
71 | 63 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2022 |
ZIR
1 - 3
SFK
44%
28%
28%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | -1 |
| 05 Aug. 2022 |
FCK
1 - 2
ZIR
11%
24%
65%
|
72 | 48 | 24 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2022 |
MTA
0 - 0
ZIR
63%
22%
15%
|
71 | 81 | 10 | +1 |
| 21 Jul. 2022 |
ZIR
0 - 3
MTA
28%
26%
46%
|
71 | 81 | 10 | 0 |