V AFG Suroeste round 13

Kyustendil vs Vihren analysis

Kyustendil Vihren
43 ELO 48
5.8% Tilt -1.2%
41528º General ELO ranking 4174º
258º Country ELO ranking 36º
ELO win probability
40.2%
Kyustendil
23.7%
Draw
36.1%
Vihren

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.2%
Win probability
Kyustendil
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.4%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
36.1%
Win probability
Vihren
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.8%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.6%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Kyustendil
+22%
+11%
Vihren

Points and table prediction

Kyustendil
Their league position
Vihren
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
43
43
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Kyustendil
43
43
100%
Vihren
43
43
100%
Bansko
36
36
100%
Oborishte
35
35
100%
Rilski Sportist
33
33
100%
Pirin Razlog
29
29
100%
Levski Sofia II
11º
24
27
57%
Septemvri Sofia II
26
26
57%
Balkan Botevgrad
25
25
57%
Gotse Delchev
25
25
10º
73%
CSKA Sofia III
10º
24
24
11º
100%
Botev Ihtiman
12º
23
23
12º
100%
Slivnishki Geroy
13º
22
22
13º
100%
Vitosha Bistritsa
14º
19
19
14º
0%
Septemvri Simitli
16º
19
19
15º
0%
Slavia Sofia II
15º
19
19
16º
0%
Pirin Blagoevgrad II
17º
15
15
17º
100%
CSKA 1948 Sofia III
18º
7
10
18º
91%
Granit Vladaya
19º
6
6
19º
91%
Expected probabilities
Kyustendil
Vihren
Promotion
100% 0%
Mid-table
0% 100%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

Kyustendil
Vihren
Levski Sofia II
Slavia Sofia II
CSKA Sofia III
Pirin Blagoevgrad II
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Kyustendil
Kyustendil
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
09 Nov. 2024
FKK
Kyustendil
5 - 1
Slavia Sofia II
SSO
61%
20%
19%
44 35 9 0
02 Nov. 2024
PIR
Pirin Razlog
2 - 3
Kyustendil
FKK
31%
26%
43%
43 39 4 +1
30 Oct. 2024
FKK
Kyustendil
0 - 4
Cherno More Varna
CVA
11%
20%
70%
44 77 33 -1
24 Oct. 2024
FKK
Kyustendil
0 - 2
Slivnishki Geroy
SLI
67%
19%
14%
45 38 7 -1
19 Oct. 2024
BAN
Bansko
0 - 0
Kyustendil
FKK
39%
25%
36%
46 44 2 -1

Matches

Vihren
Vihren
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
09 Nov. 2024
VIH
Vihren
3 - 0
Bansko
BAN
64%
21%
16%
46 43 3 0
24 Oct. 2024
PIR
Gotse Delchev
1 - 3
Vihren
VIH
14%
21%
65%
46 30 16 0
19 Oct. 2024
VIH
Vihren
4 - 2
Oborishte
OBO
56%
22%
22%
45 42 3 +1
13 Oct. 2024
VIH
Vihren
1 - 2
FK Minyor Pernik
FKM
27%
24%
50%
46 55 9 -1
05 Oct. 2024
VIH
Vihren
3 - 1
Botev Ihtiman
BOT
57%
22%
21%
45 43 2 +1