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Bulgaria Third Division. Sur-Oeste, Matchday 30

Kyustendil vs Perun analysis

Kyustendil Perun
23 ELO 15
40% Tilt -28%
7224º General ELO ranking 25695º
65º Country ELO ranking 230º
ELO win probability
67.8%
Kyustendil
20.1%
Draw
12.1%
Perun

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.8%
Win probability
Kyustendil
1.99
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.8%
3-0
9%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.5%
2-0
13.5%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.9%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
20.1%
12.1%
Win probability
Perun
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.9%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Kyustendil
+47%
-32%
Perun

Points and table prediction

Current table Final expectations
PK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Marek
82
82
50%
Kyustendil
82
82
50%
Belasitsa
78
78
100%
Vihren
75
75
100%
Oborishte
60
60
100%
Balkan Botevgrad
58
58
100%
Chavdar Etropole
51
51
100%
Botev Ihtiman
46
46
100%
Pirin Gotse Delchev
45
45
100%
Pirin Razlog
10º
41
41
10º
100%
Slivnishki Geroy
11º
36
36
12º
50%
Nadezhda Dobroslavtsi
12º
36
36
11º
50%
Rilski Sportist
13º
34
34
13º
33%
Bansko
14º
34
34
14º
33%
Levski Chepintsi
15º
34
34
15º
33%
Granit Vladaya
16º
32
32
16º
100%
Perun
17º
22
22
17º
100%
Velbazhd Kyustendil
18º
16
16
18º
100%
Expected probabilities
Kyustendil
Perun
Champion
50% 0%
Mid-table
50% 0%
Relegation
0% 100%

ELO progression

Perun
PEK
Kyustendil
FKK
Oborishte
OBO
Rilski Sportist
RIL
Belasitsa
BEL
Chavdar Etropole
CHA
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Kyustendil
Kyustendil
1%
X%
2%
ELO FKK ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
28 Apr. 2021
VEL
Velbazhd Kyustendil
0 - 3
Kyustendil
FKK
41%
28%
31%
299 217 -82 +2
24 Apr. 2021
FKK
Kyustendil
1 - 0
Nadezhda Dobroslavtsi
NAD
46%
27%
26%
298 232 66 +1
21 Apr. 2021
BOT
Botev Ihtiman
0 - 1
Kyustendil
FKK
41%
27%
32%
291 150 -141 0
17 Apr. 2021
VIH
Vihren
0 - 1
Kyustendil
FKK
49%
26%
25%
295 417 122 +1
10 Apr. 2021
FKK
Kyustendil
3 - 3
Balkan Botevgrad
BAL
46%
27%
27%
295 308 -13 0

Matches

Perun
Perun
1%
X%
2%
ELO PEK ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
28 Apr. 2021
PEK
Perun
3 - 1
Levski Chepintsi
LCH
46%
27%
28%
209 243 -34 +2
24 Apr. 2021
GRV
Granit Vladaya
3 - 1
Perun
PEK
47%
27%
26%
211 245 34 -2
21 Apr. 2021
PEK
Perun
1 - 6
Marek
MAR
41%
28%
31%
216 343 -127 0
17 Apr. 2021
PEK
Perun
1 - 1
Bansko
BAN
41%
28%
31%
216 336 -120 0
10 Apr. 2021
PIR
Pirin Gotse Delchev
2 - 0
Perun
PEK
46%
27%
26%
217 288 71 -2