Fakel II vs Zenit Penza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
10.9%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.4%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.4%
1-0
3.4%
2-1
3.2%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
7.8%
17%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
8%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
17%
72.2%
Win probability
2.35
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23%
0-2
11.9%
1-3
7.4%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.3%
0-3
9.3%
1-4
4.3%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
14.6%
0-4
5.5%
1-5
2%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
7.9%
0-5
2.6%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.5%
0-6
1%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.3%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fakel II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 2021 |
FKF
0 - 2
DIN
9%
16%
75%
|
14 | 46 | 32 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2021 |
SAK
1 - 0
FKF
84%
11%
5%
|
14 | 27 | 13 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2021 |
FDV
3 - 0
FKF
89%
8%
3%
|
14 | 46 | 32 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2021 |
FKF
0 - 3
ZVE
7%
14%
79%
|
15 | 45 | 30 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 2021 |
ZVE
1 - 1
FKF
88%
9%
3%
|
15 | 45 | 30 | 0 |
Matches
Zenit Penza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 2021 |
ZEN
3 - 1
AVA
13%
22%
65%
|
26 | 45 | 19 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2021 |
SOK
3 - 0
ZEN
80%
14%
6%
|
27 | 51 | 24 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 2021 |
ZEN
1 - 1
SAL
10%
19%
71%
|
25 | 47 | 22 | +2 |
| 26 Sep. 2021 |
KAL
1 - 1
ZEN
68%
18%
14%
|
25 | 34 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2021 |
ZEN
1 - 0
KAL
25%
26%
49%
|
23 | 36 | 13 | +2 |