Chernihiv vs SC Poltava analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.5%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.6%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.8%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.3%
38.2%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.4%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
11.2%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+5%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
16
4º
10º
9º
15
4º
12º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
40 | 40 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
30 | 30 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
29 | 29 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
28 | 28 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
27 | 27 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
21 | 21 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
20 | 20 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
20 | 20 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
|
9º
|
16 | 16 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
15 | 15 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
15 | 15 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
14 | 14 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
10 | 10 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
9 | 9 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
8 | 8 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
7 | 7 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Next round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chernihiv
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
LNZ
2 - 2
FKC
65%
23%
13%
|
46 | 64 | 18 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
FKC
0 - 0
MEZ
28%
27%
46%
|
45 | 55 | 10 | +1 |
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
OBO
3 - 1
FKC
65%
23%
12%
|
45 | 64 | 19 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
FKC
2 - 1
HSP
22%
24%
54%
|
44 | 56 | 12 | +1 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
SKT
0 - 2
FKC
74%
17%
10%
|
42 | 52 | 10 | +2 |
Matches
SC Poltava
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2022 |
KRE
4 - 3
POL
45%
25%
29%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
POL
0 - 1
LNZ
25%
27%
48%
|
50 | 63 | 13 | -1 |
| 02 Nov. 2022 |
POL
1 - 0
HSP
31%
25%
44%
|
49 | 55 | 6 | +1 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
MEZ
1 - 1
POL
61%
22%
17%
|
48 | 55 | 7 | +1 |
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
POL
2 - 1
OBO
23%
28%
49%
|
47 | 64 | 17 | +1 |