FK Bodo Glimt vs Valerenga IF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.3%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.2%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.6%
1-0
8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
26.1%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
-7%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
38
1º
5º
1º
21
2º
11º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
38 | 62 |
1º
|
50% | |
|
2º
|
36 | 60 |
2º
|
32.5% | |
|
3º
|
33 | 54 |
3º
|
30% | |
|
4º
|
32 | 53 |
4º
|
28% | |
|
5º
|
30 | 48 |
5º
|
17.5% | |
|
6º
|
27 | 46 |
6º
|
14% | |
|
9º
|
22 | 46 |
7º
|
13.5% | |
|
7º
|
26 | 44 |
8º
|
15% | |
|
8º
|
24 | 43 |
9º
|
11.5% | |
|
11º
|
20 | 42 |
10º
|
13% | |
|
|
10º
|
21 | 42 |
11º
|
19.5% | |
|
12º
|
19 | 34 |
12º
|
20.5% | |
|
14º
|
17 | 33 |
13º
|
29.5% | |
|
13º
|
18 | 33 |
14º
|
40.5% | |
|
15º
|
9 | 24 |
15º
|
76% | |
|
16º
|
2 | 11 |
16º
|
96.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
82% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
14.5% | 2% |
|
Mid-table
|
3.5% | 97.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FK Bodo Glimt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jul. 2025 |
VKG
2 - 4
BOG
46%
23%
31%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2025 |
FFK
0 - 1
BOG
34%
26%
41%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2025 |
BOG
2 - 0
SDF
58%
21%
22%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2025 |
KRI
1 - 1
BOG
31%
24%
45%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2025 |
BOG
1 - 2
S08
52%
22%
27%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Valerenga IF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jul. 2025 |
VIF
3 - 0
HAU
72%
18%
11%
|
83 | 73 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2025 |
BRY
1 - 0
VIF
28%
25%
47%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | -1 |
| 05 Jul. 2025 |
VIF
1 - 1
FFK
50%
23%
26%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | +1 |
| 29 Jun. 2025 |
STR
0 - 2
VIF
31%
26%
43%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2025 |
VIF
2 - 3
MFK
47%
24%
30%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |