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2. Division. Matchday 18

Baltika II vs Smolensk analysis

Baltika II Smolensk
32 ELO 41
-35% Tilt 54%
4584º General ELO ranking 2932º
100º Country ELO ranking 55º
ELO win probability
17.4%
Baltika II
23.6%
Draw
58.9%
Smolensk

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17.4%
Win probability
Baltika II
0.81
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.1%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
4.5%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
12.1%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
58.9%
Win probability
Smolensk
1.72
Expected goals
0-1
13.7%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.7%
0-2
11.8%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.3%
0-3
6.7%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
9.4%
0-4
2.9%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.8%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

Points and table prediction

Baltika II
Their league position
Smolensk
CURR.POS.
20º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
14
14º
21º
20º
1
11º
22º
22º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
22º
Current table Final expectations
PK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Shinnik Yaroslavl
52
52
100%
Tver
41
45
48%
Leningradets
40
44
54%
Dinamo Moskva II
38
38
100%
FK Krasava
31
35
100%
Kazanka
31
31
4%
Yenisey Krasnoyarsk II
30
30
0%
Murom
28
28
11º
0%
Dynamo St Petersburg
28
31
4%
Volna Nizhegorodskaya
10º
28
28
10º
48%
Dolgoprudny II
11º
26
26
12º
0%
Zvezda St. Petersburg
12º
26
30
0%
Kairat Moskva
13º
24
25
13º
79%
Khimik Dzerzhinsk
14º
21
21
16º
0%
Znamya
15º
19
19
17º
7%
Zenit II
16º
19
22
15º
45%
Torpedo Vladimir
17º
18
18
18º
0%
Chertanovo
18º
15
15
22º
0%
Luki-Energiya
19º
15
17
19º
10%
Baltika II
20º
14
17
20º
12%
FK Chita
21º
13
15
21º
20%
Smolensk
22º
1
22
14º
8%
Expected probabilities
Baltika II
Smolensk
Champion
0% 0%
Promotion playoffs
0% 4%
Relegation playoffs
0% 20%
Mid-table
100% 76%

ELO progression

Baltika II
FBK
Smolensk
FSM
Luki-Energiya
LUK
Zenit II
ZEN
Tver
TVE
Leningradets
FKL
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Baltika II
Baltika II
1%
X%
2%
ELO FBK ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
19 Oct. 2021
FKL
Leningradets
2 - 0
Baltika II
FBK
53%
25%
22%
415 589 174 -3
14 Oct. 2021
FBK
Baltika II
1 - 2
Tver
TVE
39%
28%
33%
416 611 -195 -2
10 Oct. 2021
FBK
Baltika II
1 - 0
FK Chita
FCC
47%
27%
26%
414 382 32 +2
04 Oct. 2021
FBK
Baltika II
0 - 0
FK Krasava
FKO
39%
28%
33%
414 649 -235 0
30 Sep. 2021
FKM
Kairat Moskva
1 - 3
Baltika II
FBK
45%
27%
28%
411 409 -2 +3