Baltika II vs Smolensk analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.7%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.1%
2-0
4%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.6%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.1%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.3%
45%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
4.3%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
20.3%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
13.5%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
6.9%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Baltika II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2021 |
FKL
2 - 0
FBK
86%
11%
4%
|
27 | 49 | 22 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2021 |
FBK
1 - 2
TVE
13%
19%
68%
|
29 | 47 | 18 | -2 |
| 10 Oct. 2021 |
FBK
1 - 0
FCC
40%
23%
37%
|
28 | 32 | 4 | +1 |
| 04 Oct. 2021 |
FBK
0 - 0
FKO
18%
19%
63%
|
27 | 42 | 15 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 2021 |
FKM
1 - 3
FBK
79%
13%
8%
|
26 | 40 | 14 | +1 |
Matches
Smolensk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jul. 2021 |
DIN
1 - 1
FSM
57%
22%
21%
|
33 | 45 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2021 |
FSM
0 - 0
LUK
46%
23%
31%
|
33 | 33 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2021 |
FSM
1 - 3
ZEN
12%
20%
69%
|
33 | 53 | 20 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2021 |
ZSP
4 - 1
FSM
58%
23%
19%
|
35 | 41 | 6 | -2 |
| 04 Jun. 2021 |
FSM
0 - 0
FKL
23%
23%
55%
|
34 | 43 | 9 | +1 |