Q. Europa League 1ra Ronda. Final
Global 0-2
FK Baku vs Mura 05 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.2%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.9%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.3%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
28.6%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.7%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FK Baku
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 2012 |
FKN
0 - 2
FKB
45%
25%
30%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2012 |
SHA
1 - 0
FKB
44%
29%
27%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | -1 |
| 05 May. 2012 |
FKB
2 - 0
FKN
47%
27%
26%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | +1 |
| 29 Apr. 2012 |
FKQ
4 - 0
FKB
46%
28%
26%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | -1 |
| 25 Apr. 2012 |
QAR
0 - 1
FKB
42%
27%
31%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Mura 05
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 May. 2012 |
MUR
3 - 0
CEL
44%
26%
30%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2012 |
OLI
3 - 1
MUR
57%
23%
20%
|
69 | 76 | 7 | -1 |
| 12 May. 2012 |
DOM
1 - 2
MUR
52%
24%
24%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | +1 |
| 06 May. 2012 |
MUR
1 - 3
MAR
33%
27%
41%
|
68 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2012 |
TRI
0 - 3
MUR
30%
25%
45%
|
68 | 61 | 7 | 0 |