Conference League 1/16
Global 2-6
FK TSC vs Jagiellonia Bialystok analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.7%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
7%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.7%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.3%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.2%
20.8%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FK TSC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2025 |
MLA
4 - 1
TSC
32%
26%
43%
|
82 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2025 |
TSC
1 - 2
CRV
45%
23%
32%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2025 |
ZAL
0 - 3
TSC
28%
25%
47%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | -1 |
| 20 Jan. 2025 |
MAR
4 - 3
TSC
36%
25%
40%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2025 |
TSC
0 - 0
AUS
55%
21%
24%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Jagiellonia Bialystok
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 2025 |
STA
2 - 1
JAG
36%
26%
38%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2025 |
JAG
5 - 0
RAD
49%
25%
27%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2025 |
JAG
1 - 1
PAR
40%
24%
36%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | -1 |
| 24 Jan. 2025 |
JAG
2 - 0
MAR
55%
22%
24%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2025 |
JAG
7 - 0
CSK
68%
18%
14%
|
79 | 70 | 9 | 0 |