Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk vs FK Smorgon analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80%
Win probability
2.74
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.9%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.5%
5-0
4.1%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.6%
4-0
7.5%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.9%
3-0
11%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.4%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.8%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.4%
13%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
6.2%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
13%
7%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
5.2%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jun. 2021 |
FKK
0 - 1
FKA
34%
27%
39%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 2021 |
FKA
3 - 0
FCS
79%
15%
6%
|
68 | 47 | 21 | +1 |
| 06 Jun. 2021 |
DNP
1 - 1
FKA
32%
26%
42%
|
68 | 61 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2021 |
IVA
0 - 5
FKA
7%
11%
83%
|
68 | 46 | 22 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2021 |
FKA
2 - 0
NAF
74%
17%
9%
|
67 | 53 | 14 | +1 |
Matches
FK Smorgon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jun. 2021 |
DIN
2 - 2
FCS
86%
11%
3%
|
48 | 77 | 29 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 2021 |
FCS
1 - 1
FKS
18%
25%
57%
|
47 | 62 | 15 | +1 |
| 28 May. 2021 |
VIT
5 - 0
FCS
72%
20%
8%
|
48 | 68 | 20 | -1 |
| 22 May. 2021 |
FCS
1 - 3
TOR
9%
19%
72%
|
48 | 75 | 27 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2021 |
DNM
2 - 0
FCS
76%
18%
6%
|
48 | 75 | 27 | 0 |