L.A. Firpo vs Alianza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.3%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.9%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.4%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.1%
55.9%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
0-1
12.7%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.1%
0-2
10.7%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.2%
0-3
6%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
8.7%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.4%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
L.A. Firpo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2021 |
JOC
2 - 2
FIR
41%
28%
31%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2021 |
FIR
1 - 0
ONC
35%
28%
37%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | +1 |
| 11 Apr. 2021 |
FIR
5 - 0
ATL
57%
24%
19%
|
55 | 48 | 7 | +1 |
| 07 Apr. 2021 |
FAS
3 - 1
FIR
50%
27%
23%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | -1 |
| 04 Apr. 2021 |
ALI
1 - 0
FIR
69%
20%
12%
|
56 | 68 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Alianza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2021 |
ALI
1 - 1
FAS
61%
22%
16%
|
69 | 62 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2021 |
ALI
4 - 0
JOC
68%
20%
12%
|
69 | 56 | 13 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2021 |
ALI
3 - 1
ONC
60%
23%
17%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2021 |
ATL
2 - 4
ALI
13%
21%
66%
|
69 | 48 | 21 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2021 |
ALI
1 - 0
FIR
69%
20%
12%
|
68 | 56 | 12 | +1 |