Fiorenzuola vs Corticella analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
86%
Win probability
3
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.3%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.5%
6-0
2.9%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.7%
5-0
5.9%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.7%
4-0
9.8%
5-1
3.2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
13.4%
3-0
13.1%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.3%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.7%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
7%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.9%
9.9%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
4.7%
2-2
1.9%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
9.9%
4%
Win probability
0.54
Expected goals
0-1
1.6%
1-2
1.3%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
3.2%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fiorenzuola
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2021 |
FOR
2 - 2
FIO
25%
26%
50%
|
41 | 30 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2021 |
FIO
3 - 0
SER
66%
19%
15%
|
40 | 30 | 10 | +1 |
| 17 Mar. 2021 |
MEZ
1 - 3
FIO
34%
26%
41%
|
39 | 32 | 7 | +1 |
| 14 Mar. 2021 |
FIO
4 - 2
MAR
76%
15%
9%
|
39 | 23 | 16 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2021 |
BAG
2 - 2
FIO
18%
24%
58%
|
39 | 22 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Corticella
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2021 |
SER
1 - 1
COR
81%
13%
7%
|
15 | 29 | 14 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2021 |
COR
1 - 1
ACA
7%
14%
78%
|
13 | 40 | 27 | +2 |
| 17 Mar. 2021 |
MAR
0 - 0
COR
82%
12%
6%
|
13 | 22 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2021 |
COR
1 - 3
FOR
13%
19%
68%
|
13 | 28 | 15 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2021 |
ACP
3 - 1
COR
86%
10%
4%
|
13 | 35 | 22 | 0 |