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Serie D. Group D, Matchday 13

Fiorenzuola vs Real Forte Querceta analysis

Fiorenzuola Real Forte Querceta
14 ELO 20
63% Tilt 65%
7358º General ELO ranking 7115º
286º Country ELO ranking 274º
ELO win probability
46.3%
Fiorenzuola
21.1%
Draw
32.6%
Real Forte Querceta

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.3%
Win probability
Fiorenzuola
2.06
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
3%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.6%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
13.8%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.7%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
2.8%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.1%
32.6%
Win probability
Real Forte Querceta
1.72
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
16.4%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
4%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
9.6%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Fiorenzuola
+69%
-10%
Real Forte Querceta

Points and table prediction

Fiorenzuola
Their league position
Real Forte Querceta
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
75
12º
46
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Current table Final expectations
PK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Fiorenzuola
75
75
100%
Aglianese
73
73
100%
Lentigione
65
65
100%
Prato
54
54
100%
Rimini
52
52
50%
Forli
52
52
50%
Pro Livorno
48
48
100%
Correggese
47
47
100%
Real Forte Querceta
46
46
100%
Sammaurese
10º
42
42
10º
100%
Ghivizzano Borgo
11º
41
41
11º
100%
Bagnolese
12º
40
40
12º
100%
Mezzolara
13º
39
39
13º
100%
Seravezza
14º
36
36
14º
50%
Progresso
15º
36
36
15º
50%
Sasso Marconi
16º
33
33
16º
100%
Marignanese
17º
29
29
17º
100%
Corticella
18º
24
24
18º
100%
Expected probabilities
Fiorenzuola
Real Forte Querceta
Champion
100% 0%
Promotion playoffs
0% 0%
Mid-table
0% 100%
Relegation playoffs
0% 0%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

Fiorenzuola
FIO
Real Forte Querceta
USR
Ghivizzano Borgo
GHI
Corticella
COR
Sasso Marconi
ASD
Lentigione
LEN
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Fiorenzuola
Fiorenzuola
1%
X%
2%
ELO FIO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
20 Jan. 2021
FIO
Fiorenzuola
0 - 1
Forli
FOR
45%
27%
27%
196 221 -25 0
23 Dec. 2020
FIO
Fiorenzuola
1 - 1
Sammaurese
SAM
46%
27%
27%
198 252 -54 0
20 Dec. 2020
FIO
Fiorenzuola
5 - 1
Aglianese
ACA
40%
28%
32%
198 419 -221 0
13 Dec. 2020
COR
Corticella
1 - 5
Fiorenzuola
FIO
47%
27%
26%
196 288 92 0
15 Nov. 2020
SER
Seravezza
0 - 1
Fiorenzuola
FIO
49%
26%
25%
196 321 125 0

Matches

Real Forte Querceta
Real Forte Querceta
1%
X%
2%
ELO USR ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
02 Dec. 2020
PRO
Pro Livorno
4 - 0
Real Forte Querceta
USR
47%
27%
26%
267 294 27 -3
23 Dec. 2020
FOR
Forli
1 - 1
Real Forte Querceta
USR
46%
27%
27%
268 221 -47 0
20 Dec. 2020
USR
Real Forte Querceta
1 - 1
Prato
ACP
46%
27%
27%
268 307 -39 0
13 Dec. 2020
BAG
Bagnolese
0 - 1
Real Forte Querceta
USR
65%
20%
15%
268 1127 859 0
15 Nov. 2020
USR
Real Forte Querceta
0 - 1
Lentigione
LEN
45%
27%
27%
267 293 -26 0