Fiorenzuola vs Progresso analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79.3%
Win probability
2.78
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
1.9%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.5%
5-0
4%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.7%
4-0
7.2%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.9%
3-0
10.4%
4-1
5.5%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.2%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.5%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.2%
13.1%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
6.1%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.1%
7.5%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
5.5%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
+23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fiorenzuola
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 May. 2021 |
USR
1 - 1
FIO
23%
28%
49%
|
41 | 32 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2021 |
FIO
3 - 2
RIM
53%
25%
23%
|
40 | 36 | 4 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 2021 |
SAM
1 - 2
FIO
30%
26%
44%
|
39 | 32 | 7 | +1 |
| 10 Apr. 2021 |
ACA
1 - 0
FIO
39%
27%
34%
|
40 | 37 | 3 | -1 |
| 01 Apr. 2021 |
FIO
4 - 0
COR
86%
10%
4%
|
40 | 15 | 25 | 0 |
Matches
Progresso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 May. 2021 |
PRO
3 - 3
SAM
31%
24%
46%
|
23 | 31 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2021 |
COR
1 - 0
PRO
59%
20%
21%
|
24 | 27 | 3 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 2021 |
PRO
0 - 2
MEZ
43%
24%
33%
|
24 | 27 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2021 |
ACA
4 - 2
PRO
71%
17%
12%
|
25 | 39 | 14 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 2021 |
PRO
2 - 1
COR
71%
17%
12%
|
25 | 17 | 8 | 0 |