Fiorentina vs Triestina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
88.7%
Win probability
3.02
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.7%
6-0
3.5%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
<0%
+6
4.1%
5-0
6.9%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
8.4%
4-0
11.4%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
14.4%
3-0
15%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
20.1%
2-0
14.9%
3-1
6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.9%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
6%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
17.2%
8.6%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
3.9%
2-2
1.2%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
8.6%
2.7%
Win probability
0.4
Expected goals
0-1
1.3%
1-2
0.8%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
2.3%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.4%
0-3
0%
1-4
0%
-3
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fiorentina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jul. 2022 |
FIO
4 - 1
TRE
92%
7%
2%
|
84 | 47 | 37 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2022 |
FIO
7 - 0
OLG
93%
6%
1%
|
84 | 22 | 62 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2022 |
FIO
6 - 0
SAN
95%
4%
1%
|
84 | 18 | 66 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2022 |
FIO
7 - 0
REA
90%
8%
2%
|
84 | 43 | 41 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2022 |
FIO
2 - 0
JUV
23%
24%
53%
|
83 | 91 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Triestina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jul. 2022 |
LAZ
3 - 1
TRI
87%
9%
3%
|
50 | 86 | 36 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2022 |
PAL
1 - 1
TRI
75%
17%
8%
|
49 | 64 | 15 | +1 |
| 08 May. 2022 |
TRI
1 - 2
PAL
16%
24%
59%
|
50 | 64 | 14 | -1 |
| 04 May. 2022 |
TRI
2 - 1
PRO
46%
27%
27%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | +1 |
| 24 Apr. 2022 |
TRI
0 - 2
FCS
21%
28%
51%
|
50 | 62 | 12 | -1 |