Fiorentina vs Parma analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.2%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.5%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
31%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.6%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.6%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fiorentina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jan. 1995 |
TOR
1 - 0
FIO
49%
26%
25%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 1994 |
FIO
1 - 1
USF
52%
23%
25%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 1994 |
FIO
1 - 2
PAR
46%
27%
27%
|
84 | 89 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 1994 |
FIO
1 - 0
ROM
46%
26%
28%
|
84 | 88 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 1994 |
JUV
3 - 2
FIO
69%
19%
12%
|
84 | 91 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Parma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jan. 1995 |
PAR
1 - 3
JUV
37%
27%
36%
|
89 | 90 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 1994 |
BAR
1 - 2
PAR
24%
29%
47%
|
89 | 77 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 1994 |
FIO
1 - 2
PAR
46%
27%
27%
|
89 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 1994 |
GEN
0 - 0
PAR
35%
28%
37%
|
89 | 82 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 1994 |
PAR
4 - 2
ATH
61%
24%
15%
|
89 | 81 | 8 | 0 |