Fiorentina vs Napoli analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.4%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.1%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.7%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
50.2%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23%
0-2
8.2%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
15.3%
0-3
4.7%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.6%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fiorentina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 2021 |
UDI
0 - 1
FIO
33%
26%
41%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2021 |
FIO
1 - 3
INT
20%
23%
57%
|
83 | 92 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2021 |
GEN
1 - 2
FIO
38%
26%
37%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2021 |
ATL
1 - 2
FIO
75%
15%
10%
|
82 | 89 | 7 | +1 |
| 28 Aug. 2021 |
FIO
2 - 1
TOR
55%
22%
23%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Napoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2021 |
NAP
2 - 3
SPA
80%
13%
7%
|
90 | 79 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2021 |
NAP
2 - 0
CAG
81%
13%
6%
|
90 | 75 | 15 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2021 |
SAM
0 - 4
NAP
22%
23%
55%
|
89 | 80 | 9 | +1 |
| 20 Sep. 2021 |
UDI
0 - 4
NAP
17%
22%
61%
|
89 | 79 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2021 |
LEI
2 - 2
NAP
37%
26%
37%
|
89 | 88 | 1 | 0 |