Fiorentina vs Napoli analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.2%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4%
3-0
7%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.9%
2-0
12%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.7%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.8%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.2%
16.6%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fiorentina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2009 |
DVS
3 - 4
FIO
40%
27%
33%
|
86 | 77 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2009 |
JUV
1 - 1
FIO
62%
22%
16%
|
86 | 89 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2009 |
FIO
0 - 0
LAZ
51%
25%
24%
|
86 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2009 |
FIO
2 - 0
LIV
21%
26%
53%
|
86 | 95 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2009 |
LIV
0 - 1
FIO
29%
28%
43%
|
86 | 75 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Napoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2009 |
NAP
2 - 1
BOL
55%
26%
19%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2009 |
ROM
2 - 1
NAP
74%
16%
10%
|
79 | 88 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2009 |
NAP
2 - 1
SIE
50%
27%
23%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2009 |
INT
3 - 1
NAP
74%
18%
9%
|
79 | 91 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2009 |
NAP
0 - 0
UDI
34%
27%
39%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | 0 |