Serie A . Jor. 5

Fiorentina vs Juventus analysis

Fiorentina Juventus
84 ELO 90
16.5% Tilt -7.5%
64º General ELO ranking 16º
Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
28.2%
Fiorentina
24.8%
Draw
47%
Juventus

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.2%
Win probability
Fiorentina
1.18
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.7%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.8%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.8%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.8%
47%
Win probability
Juventus
1.59
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
22.8%
0-2
7.9%
1-3
5%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
14.2%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.6%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Fiorentina
-3%
+1%
Juventus

Points and table prediction

Fiorentina
Their league position
Juventus
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
56
14º
62
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Napoli
90
90
100%
Lazio
74
74
100%
Inter
72
72
100%
Juventus
62
72
100%
Milan
70
70
100%
Atalanta
64
64
100%
Roma
63
63
100%
Fiorentina
56
56
100%
Torino
53
53
100%
Bologna
10º
52
52
10º
100%
AC Monza
11º
52
52
11º
100%
Udinese
12º
46
46
12º
100%
Sassuolo
13º
45
45
13º
100%
Empoli
14º
43
43
14º
100%
Salernitana
15º
42
42
15º
100%
Lecce
16º
37
37
16º
100%
Hellas Verona
18º
31
31
17º
0%
Spezia
17º
31
31
18º
0%
Cremonese
19º
27
27
19º
100%
Sampdoria
20º
19
19
20º
100%
Expected probabilities
Fiorentina
Juventus
Champion
0% 0%
Champions League
0% 100%
Europa League
0% 0%
Conference League knock out round
0% 0%
Mid-table
100% 0%
Relegation play-offs
0% 0%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

Fiorentina
Juventus
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Fiorentina
Fiorentina
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
31 Aug. 2022
UDI
Udinese
1 - 0
Fiorentina
FIO
36%
26%
38%
84 79 5 0
28 Aug. 2022
FIO
Fiorentina
0 - 0
Napoli
NAP
31%
24%
45%
84 89 5 0
25 Aug. 2022
TWE
Twente
0 - 0
Fiorentina
FIO
34%
27%
40%
84 79 5 0
21 Aug. 2022
EMP
Empoli
0 - 0
Fiorentina
FIO
36%
25%
40%
84 76 8 0
18 Aug. 2022
FIO
Fiorentina
2 - 1
Twente
TWE
63%
19%
18%
84 79 5 0

Matches

Juventus
Juventus
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
31 Aug. 2022
JUV
Juventus
2 - 0
Spezia
SPE
76%
16%
8%
90 74 16 0
27 Aug. 2022
JUV
Juventus
1 - 1
Roma
ROM
52%
23%
25%
90 88 2 0
22 Aug. 2022
SAM
Sampdoria
0 - 0
Juventus
JUV
17%
23%
60%
90 77 13 0
15 Aug. 2022
JUV
Juventus
3 - 0
Sassuolo
SAS
66%
20%
14%
90 82 8 0
07 Aug. 2022
JUV
Juventus
0 - 4
Atlético
ATM
48%
25%
28%
91 90 1 -1
X