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Serie A. Matchday 38

Fiorentina vs Juventus analysis

Fiorentina Juventus
85 ELO 95
19% Tilt -18%
35º General ELO ranking
Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
41.9%
Fiorentina
27.1%
Draw
31.1%
Juventus

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.9%
Win probability
Fiorentina
1.34
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.3%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27%
31.1%
Win probability
Juventus
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.7%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
8.5%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Fiorentina
+6%
-27%
Juventus

Basic stats

67
33
POS
13
1
SOT
6
2
COR
2
0
GF
0
2
GC
16
13
FRK
85
95
ELO
1.3
1.1
EXP
Key
POS
Ball possession
SOT
Total shots
COR
Corners
GF
Goals for
GC
Goals against
FRK
Fouls received
ELO
Team's ELO rating
EXP
Expected goals for the team

Points and table prediction

Fiorentina
Their league position
Juventus
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
62
14º
70
18º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Current table Final expectations
PK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Milan
86
86
100%
Inter
84
84
100%
Napoli
79
79
100%
Juventus
70
70
100%
Lazio
64
64
100%
Roma
63
63
100%
Fiorentina
62
62
100%
Atalanta
59
59
100%
Hellas Verona
53
53
100%
Torino
10º
50
50
10º
50%
Sassuolo
11º
50
50
11º
50%
Udinese
12º
47
47
12º
100%
Bologna
13º
46
46
13º
100%
Empoli
14º
41
41
14º
100%
Sampdoria
15º
36
36
15º
50%
Spezia
16º
36
36
16º
50%
Salernitana
17º
31
31
17º
100%
Cagliari
18º
30
30
18º
100%
Genoa
19º
28
28
19º
100%
Venezia
20º
27
27
20º
100%
Expected probabilities
Fiorentina
Juventus
Champion
0% 0%
Champions League
0% 100%
Europa League
0% 0%
Europa Conference League
100% 0%
Mid-table
0% 0%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

Fiorentina
FIO
Juventus
JUV
Olginatese
OLG
Sassuolo
SAS
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Fiorentina
Fiorentina
1%
X%
2%
ELO FIO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
16 May. 2022
SAM
Sampdoria
4 - 1
Fiorentina
FIO
36%
27%
37%
2815 2056 -759 -29
09 May. 2022
FIO
Fiorentina
2 - 0
Roma
ROM
41%
28%
31%
2796 3073 -277 +18
01 May. 2022
ACM
Milan
1 - 0
Fiorentina
FIO
53%
25%
22%
2806 2828 22 -10
24 Apr. 2022
SAL
Salernitana
2 - 1
Fiorentina
FIO
9%
15%
76%
2828 965 -1863 -22
20 Apr. 2022
JUV
Juventus
2 - 0
Fiorentina
FIO
71%
18%
12%
2835 3586 751 -4

Matches

Juventus
Juventus
1%
X%
2%
ELO JUV ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
16 May. 2022
JUV
Juventus
2 - 2
Lazio
LAZ
71%
18%
12%
3548 2793 755 -7
11 May. 2022
JUV
Juventus
2 - 4
Inter
INT
66%
19%
14%
3576 2879 697 -24
06 May. 2022
GEN
Genoa
2 - 1
Juventus
JUV
17%
21%
62%
3593 2104 -1489 -20
01 May. 2022
JUV
Juventus
2 - 1
Venezia
VNZ
79%
15%
6%
3593 533 3060 0
25 Apr. 2022
SAS
Sassuolo
1 - 2
Juventus
JUV
17%
21%
62%
3590 2106 -1484 +3