Fiorentina vs Galatasaray SK analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.3%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.4%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.4%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.1%
15.9%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.4%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fiorentina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jul. 2022 |
FIO
4 - 0
TRI
89%
9%
3%
|
84 | 50 | 34 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2022 |
FIO
4 - 1
TRE
92%
7%
2%
|
84 | 47 | 37 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2022 |
FIO
7 - 0
OLG
93%
6%
1%
|
84 | 22 | 62 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2022 |
FIO
6 - 0
SAN
95%
4%
1%
|
84 | 18 | 66 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2022 |
FIO
7 - 0
REA
90%
8%
2%
|
84 | 43 | 41 | 0 |
Matches
Galatasaray SK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jul. 2022 |
GAL
1 - 1
SAL
70%
18%
12%
|
79 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2022 |
GAL
2 - 1
KAS
58%
21%
21%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2022 |
GAL
0 - 0
PAR
74%
16%
10%
|
79 | 66 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2022 |
SIG
0 - 2
GAL
33%
27%
40%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2022 |
FHV
1 - 0
GAL
40%
26%
35%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |