Fiorentina vs Bologna analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.1%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.7%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.1%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.8%
14%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10%
0-2
2%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fiorentina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2011 |
FIO
2 - 1
CTT
75%
17%
9%
|
84 | 68 | 16 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2011 |
BRE
2 - 2
FIO
29%
28%
43%
|
84 | 73 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2011 |
FIO
1 - 1
BOL
65%
21%
14%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2011 |
INT
3 - 1
FIO
74%
17%
10%
|
85 | 91 | 6 | -1 |
| 01 May. 2011 |
FIO
5 - 2
UDI
43%
25%
32%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Bologna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2011 |
BOL
2 - 1
PAD
62%
22%
17%
|
77 | 68 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2011 |
BOL
0 - 4
BAR
56%
24%
20%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2011 |
FIO
1 - 1
BOL
65%
21%
14%
|
77 | 84 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2011 |
BOL
0 - 0
PAR
43%
26%
31%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2011 |
ACM
1 - 0
BOL
77%
16%
7%
|
77 | 90 | 13 | 0 |