Fiorentina vs Atalanta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.9%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.6%
2-0
3%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.4%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.3%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
56.6%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.9%
0-2
9.5%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.4%
0-3
5.9%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.4%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fiorentina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2021 |
GEN
1 - 1
FIO
37%
26%
37%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2021 |
FIO
2 - 3
ACM
28%
26%
47%
|
82 | 88 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2021 |
BEN
1 - 4
FIO
34%
26%
41%
|
82 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2021 |
FIO
3 - 3
PAR
63%
21%
16%
|
82 | 72 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2021 |
FIO
1 - 2
ROM
26%
23%
51%
|
82 | 87 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Atalanta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2021 |
ATL
3 - 2
UDI
83%
12%
6%
|
90 | 79 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2021 |
VER
0 - 2
ATL
15%
21%
64%
|
89 | 78 | 11 | +1 |
| 16 Mar. 2021 |
RMA
3 - 1
ATL
65%
19%
17%
|
90 | 93 | 3 | -1 |
| 12 Mar. 2021 |
ATL
3 - 1
SPE
85%
11%
5%
|
89 | 75 | 14 | +1 |
| 08 Mar. 2021 |
INT
1 - 0
ATL
55%
22%
24%
|
90 | 91 | 1 | -1 |