Finn Harps vs Derry City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25.2%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.9%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.5%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
6%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.3%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
48.2%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
13%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.4%
0-2
9.4%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.6%
0-3
4.5%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.3%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Finn Harps
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 2022 |
FIN
2 - 2
DRO
39%
26%
35%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2022 |
FIN
0 - 3
SHR
19%
26%
55%
|
59 | 77 | 18 | -1 |
| 18 Mar. 2022 |
SHE
0 - 3
FIN
49%
26%
25%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | +1 |
| 14 Mar. 2022 |
SLR
3 - 1
FIN
55%
26%
20%
|
58 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2022 |
FIN
0 - 2
STP
31%
28%
42%
|
59 | 68 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Derry City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 2022 |
UCD
0 - 2
DER
23%
25%
52%
|
69 | 55 | 14 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2022 |
BOH
1 - 2
DER
51%
25%
24%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | +1 |
| 18 Mar. 2022 |
DER
2 - 1
STP
45%
27%
28%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2022 |
DER
2 - 0
DRO
59%
23%
19%
|
67 | 58 | 9 | +1 |
| 04 Mar. 2022 |
SHE
0 - 1
DER
32%
27%
41%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | 0 |