Finn Harps vs Derry City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25.5%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.7%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.1%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
48.9%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
11.8%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.9%
0-2
9.1%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.9%
0-3
4.6%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.8%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Finn Harps
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2019 |
FIN
2 - 1
SLR
27%
24%
50%
|
53 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2019 |
WAT
4 - 0
FIN
68%
20%
12%
|
53 | 63 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2019 |
FIN
0 - 1
SHR
24%
29%
46%
|
54 | 70 | 16 | -1 |
| 15 Mar. 2019 |
UCD
3 - 0
FIN
55%
24%
21%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | -1 |
| 08 Mar. 2019 |
FIN
3 - 4
CAO
12%
23%
66%
|
55 | 76 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
Derry City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2019 |
DER
3 - 0
LON
45%
24%
32%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2019 |
DER
2 - 0
SLR
50%
25%
25%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2019 |
DER
0 - 2
DUN
15%
23%
63%
|
61 | 80 | 19 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2019 |
BOH
1 - 1
DER
53%
25%
23%
|
61 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2019 |
CAO
0 - 0
DER
69%
19%
12%
|
61 | 76 | 15 | 0 |