Finland U21 vs Lithuania U21 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.3%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.7%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.2%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.7%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.5%
19.1%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+37%
-22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Finland U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jun. 2013 |
NOR
2 - 0
FIN
68%
19%
13%
|
56 | 65 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2013 |
HUN
2 - 0
FIN
51%
25%
24%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 2012 |
FIN
1 - 0
LTU
61%
22%
17%
|
57 | 48 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2012 |
EST
0 - 3
FIN
24%
25%
51%
|
57 | 37 | 20 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2012 |
LTU
1 - 3
FIN
27%
26%
47%
|
57 | 48 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Lithuania U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jun. 2013 |
LTU
2 - 1
SMR
65%
20%
16%
|
47 | 22 | 25 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2013 |
POL
3 - 0
LTU
71%
18%
12%
|
47 | 60 | 13 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2013 |
BLR
2 - 0
LTU
70%
19%
12%
|
47 | 62 | 15 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2013 |
LTU
1 - 2
UKR
14%
23%
64%
|
48 | 70 | 22 | -1 |
| 23 Jan. 2013 |
TJK
2 - 4
LTU
23%
24%
53%
|
47 | 31 | 16 | +1 |