Figueirense vs São Caetano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.1%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.6%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.3%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.8%
12.1%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
8.7%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Figueirense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jul. 2013 |
FFL
1 - 0
BOT
34%
26%
40%
|
70 | 85 | 15 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2013 |
FFL
2 - 3
PAL
35%
26%
40%
|
71 | 80 | 9 | -1 |
| 13 Jul. 2013 |
ATL
2 - 3
FFL
49%
25%
26%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | +1 |
| 07 Jul. 2013 |
FFL
3 - 0
BOA
78%
15%
7%
|
70 | 55 | 15 | 0 |
| 04 Jul. 2013 |
BOT
1 - 0
FFL
72%
17%
11%
|
70 | 84 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
São Caetano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jul. 2013 |
SAO
3 - 1
SJS
73%
18%
10%
|
62 | 44 | 18 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2013 |
SAO
1 - 1
SAN
67%
20%
13%
|
63 | 51 | 12 | -1 |
| 21 Jul. 2013 |
SAO
1 - 1
SAO
42%
25%
33%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2013 |
SAO
0 - 1
GUA
56%
24%
20%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2013 |
PAY
2 - 2
SAO
44%
26%
30%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | 0 |