Figueirense vs Chapecoense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.1%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
3%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.3%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22%
27.9%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.9%
33%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.8%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
9.1%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Figueirense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 2016 |
CRI
0 - 2
FFL
33%
27%
41%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
FFL
3 - 0
GUA
74%
18%
8%
|
72 | 48 | 24 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2016 |
INT
0 - 1
FFL
14%
19%
67%
|
71 | 54 | 17 | +1 |
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
FFL
1 - 2
JEC
55%
25%
20%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | -1 |
| 09 Mar. 2016 |
FLA
1 - 1
FFL
62%
22%
16%
|
72 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Chapecoense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2016 |
CHA
3 - 3
BRU
72%
18%
9%
|
78 | 55 | 23 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
CHA
4 - 0
AVA
62%
22%
16%
|
78 | 64 | 14 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2016 |
GUA
1 - 2
CHA
13%
23%
64%
|
78 | 48 | 30 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2016 |
CHA
4 - 0
CAM
81%
15%
4%
|
77 | 47 | 30 | +1 |
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
INT
1 - 2
CHA
19%
25%
56%
|
78 | 56 | 22 | -1 |