Q. Europa League Segunda Ronda. Final
Global 1-3
FH Hafnarfjordur vs Nacional analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.2%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.4%
2-0
8%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.9%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
25.1%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FH Hafnarfjordur
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jul. 2011 |
IBV
3 - 1
FHH
26%
26%
48%
|
77 | 67 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2011 |
FHH
7 - 2
GRI
83%
12%
5%
|
77 | 57 | 20 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 2011 |
FRA
1 - 2
FHH
28%
25%
47%
|
76 | 66 | 10 | +1 |
| 23 Jun. 2011 |
KRR
2 - 0
FHH
48%
23%
29%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 2011 |
THO
2 - 2
FHH
17%
22%
61%
|
77 | 57 | 20 | -1 |
Matches
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 2011 |
BMA
0 - 2
NAC
33%
27%
41%
|
79 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2011 |
NAC
0 - 1
OLH
62%
22%
16%
|
80 | 70 | 10 | -1 |
| 01 May. 2011 |
NAV
1 - 2
NAC
29%
27%
44%
|
79 | 69 | 10 | +1 |
| 18 Apr. 2011 |
NAC
1 - 1
SPB
31%
27%
42%
|
79 | 87 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2011 |
MAR
1 - 1
NAC
46%
26%
28%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |